Startups & The Downturn

The downturn sure is making for interesting times.  Here at FoG it started with the gloom of the Sequoia meeting notes and presentation of doom.  Followed by the more upbeat link to Paul Graham's essay on "Why to Start a Startup in a Bad Economy."

Interesting times.  And I have a pretty interesting job.  A job that allows me to interact with lots of investor types.  Individual angels,  angel groups, angel funds, venture capitalists, venture bankers.  And they don't mind telling me whats on their mind because at the moment I am somewhat like Switzerland (Entrepreneurs do the same thing BTW).  Last week at Venture Atlanta and Meet the VC I had a chance to talk with a lot of investors over a brief period of time.  And while I hesitate to quote anyone directly I can summarize what I learned over the past week.

Angels A Mixed Bunch

Some are frozen into inaction.  Some, but not many, continue business as usual.  The latter are being more selective.  Asset allocations are being closely watched.  Which is closely tied to the broader stock market. Many angles have to allocate more money for follow on.   Overall not good for early stage.

VCs Intend To Keep Investing

This message is loud and clear.  VCs have lots of money.  Sitting in cash.  They intend to invest it.  They also will be more selective.  Either gravitating towards later stage deals to shorten their exit horizon or doing less deals as the need to keep funds available for follow on increases.  Also not good for early stage.

Business models will drive interest.  Advertising is out.  Platforms, analytics, and cost savings are in.

With that said some deals that would have been consummated fours weeks ago are not getting done today.  I personally know of several.  VCs are pulling back to conserve their funds for what they believe to be higher probability deals that can make it through the startup winter.

VC Advice

VCs are looking to help extend the cash runways of their deals by cutting costs.  They want their companies to get more conservative.  They are advising their companies to draw down their credit lines.

Startup Reaction

Startups are heeding this advice.  TechCrunch offered up a layoff tracker.  To date it is showing 3,689 laid off employees at 22 companies.  Back out the more established eBay and Yahoo and you get 689 employees at 20 companies.  Startup CEOs are acting, and acting fast.

Surveys

In an interesting side note DLA Piper released its "Technology Leaders Forecast Survey" this week.  Conducted in late September and early October, the survey shows 47% of VCs believing that the financial crisis will adversely impact the tech industry while 33% of technology company executives (not just early stage) believe this is the case.  Based what I have seen and heard in the past four weeks both parties are acting a bit counter to how they responded a month ago.

Some Key Quotes

"I'm getting a deal done."

"You will see a flight to quality."

"It's grim."

"I am looking for a real entrepreneurial spirit.  Someone who can efficiently get to revenues and profits."

Wrap Up

Like the broader economic climate, times are not good in the technology startup world.  But deals are going to get done.  Good deals. With smart entrepreneurs.  Helping each other to achieve a dream.

It will take longer.  It will make a hard task even harder.  But deals will get done.  If you are an entrepreneur you need to adjust to the new realities of our times and go find yours.

October 23, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Angels, Entrepreneurship, Venture Capital

Startup Weekend Diffs

Over the weekend at BarCamp Atlanta nobody wanted to fill the opening slot in the main room.  I ended up stepping up and doing an ad-hoc presentation on what is changing with 2.0 version of Atlanta Startup Weekend.  There are some major changes in the works, all of which I think will add to the excitement.  Here is a brief summary.

Multiple Projects

Perhaps the most exciting change is that instead of all the participants working on a single project we will be working on as many projects as the group wants to support.  Since the new format was introduced at Boulder in March 6 – 9 projects have been moved forward in a typical (if there can be such a thing) weekend.   Last year we experienced a problem with too many cooks in one kitchen that created some issues.  This resulted in talented folks disengaging.  I have great hope for the multiple project format making Startup Weekend a richer experience for all.

No Atlanta Startup Weekend 2 LLC Will Be Formed

Last year we formed a partnership with all the participants of Atlanta Startup Weekend getting shares in an LLC which then got a 50% ownership stake in the resulting company, Skribit.  At Boulder 2 Andrew Hyde stated that this was taking place due to some blue sky law issues.  Don’t know much about that.  What I do know is that the LLC component has created some complicating issues for Skribit as it continues to move forward.  A change for the better.

No Company Formation Requirement

As with the LLC, there is no requirement that a project team form a company around their concept.  They can.  They can agree to work on an ad-hoc basis.  They can abandon their project all together.  They can join another team that wants to push forward.  The only requirements are to build the Atlanta startup community, learn, and have fun.  Sounds easy enough.

Less Hours

Last year we went from 6 pm – 2 am on Friday, 8 am – 2 am on Saturday, and 9 am on Sunday to 4 am on Monday.  We launched a Skirbit alpha at midnight on Sunday and spent a few hours doing testing.  I know the Atlanta Web community is very proud of the fact we launched on time with a great product (as it should be).  This year the official hours will be  Friday from 6-10 pm, Saturday from 9am-9pm. and Sunday from 9am-6pm.  You can expect ATDC to be open for a few hours on each side of the official hours as needed.  But there will be a bigger emphasis on informal project team meetings before and after hours.

More Fun

The multiple project format and lack of legal wranglings required is going to mean more fun.  More fun because more people will be able to be involved (expecting 100 or so, mosey on over to the Atlanta Startup Weekend blog to learn more and sign up).  More fun because we can focus on what matters.  Building stuff that people want to use.  Now if we can only get Andrew to join us…

Administrative note:  Please go to the Atlanta Startup Weekend 2 blog and subscribe to the feed.  Updates concerning the weekend will be taking place on a regular basis there.   

October 21, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Entrepreneurship, Fun, Startups

Venture Atlanta Spectacular

About 500 entrepreneurs, executives, and venture capitalists gathered last week for the first Venture Atlanta conference.  This event came about when the Atlanta Metro Chamber of Commerce, the Atlanta CEO Council, and the Technology Association of
Georgia collaborated to develop something bigger and better than the ION Venture Forum. And bigger and better it was.

I don’t go to many venture conferences.  After all they are targeted toward venture capitalists.  So it is difficult for me to compare Venture Atlanta to other such events.  I do know that compared to when I presented at ION back in 2003, this event was huge.  Over 100 VCs attended Venture Atlanta.  Thirty four companies presented (Including 14 at the ATDC/VentureLab "Let’s Make a Deal" early stage company showcase).  More important than the quantity was the quality of the companies.  Many that presented were strong and established companies poised for growth.  Many of them will close rounds within the next nine months. 

A few examples.  Multicast with revenues of $16 milllion.  GMT with revenues of $11 million.  O4 with revenues of $9.9 million. Vocalocity with revenues of $7 million.  TerraGo with revenues of $4.5 million.  ControlScan that requested their revenues not be disclosed in this forum. WorthPoint with revenues of $1.3 million.   Earlier stage companies Moneta, Purewire, SnapFinger, and SoloHealth.  All actively seeking expansion capital. 

One investor summed up the event as "spectacular".  And outside of the snarkiness that took place on twitter about the presentation decks and some folks wishing Bernie Marcus did not introduce some politics to the event, every single VC that I spoke to said the event was outstanding.

And it was.

October 20, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Venture Capital

My BarCamp Atlanta Presentation: “That’s What You Twittered”

ATDC is the host sponsor of BarCamp Atlanta 2, which essentially means I am spending the better part of the weekend with about 95 geeks and 5 geekettes.

Those that follow me on Twitter know that I used the service to crowdsource my presentation.  I got the concept from a presentation that Chris Winfield created for SES Toronto back in June. I had a few requests to distribute the presentation and you will find it below.  While the presentation was fine in the room you may need to view in full screen on SlideShare.

Thanks again for all those that participated in the making of a fun presentation.

October 18, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in atdc, BarCamp, Fun, Internet, Unconference

Quote of the Week

I had a rather classic quote lined up this week.

"What lies behind us and lies before us are small matters compared to what lies within us."

Ralph Waldo Emerson

And then a ran across this gem and decided a modern take was appropriate.

"And if you’re worried about threats to the survival of your company, don’t look for them in the news. Look in the mirror."

Paul Graham

You should read Paul’s essay on why to start a startup in a bad economy.

October 17, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Quotes

Marketing BrownBag

Atdc_brownbag_2
On Wednesday October 22, 2008 at 11:45 ATDC will resume its BrownBag series and for the first time they are systematically opening up this program to startups and entrepreneurs that are not a part of ATDC’s incubator.  It’s going to be a great program.  As Toby Bloomberg, the person responsible for me starting FoG put it, “congrats! for putting together 3 smart women.”

And smart is as smart does.  The topic of the panel is “Establish, Enhance, & Grow your Web Presence.”  It is being presented by a trio of marketing mavens.  In addition to Toby, my dear friend Erika Jolly Brookes, VP of Marketing at EarthLink, and SEO guru Stacy Williams of Prominent Placement are scheduled to present.

It is free to attend and lunch will be provided.  I expect this to fill up before the week is out.  You need to register {SOLD OUT!} now!

October 15, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in atdc, Marketing, Startups

TechOperators

Amidst all the economic gloom and doom four accomplished Atlanta entrepreneurs are showing optimism for technology startups in the South by starting a new venture fund.  David Gould, Said Mohammadioun, and Glenn McGonnigle and Tom Noonan will formally announce the formation of TechOperators at Venture Atlanta later this week.

The general partners in TechOperators have extensive experience in managing technology companies with over 46 years of experience as CEOs of priviate and public technology companies.  And while this is their first formal foray into the world of venture capital, the individuals involved have invested in more than 45 startups over the years.

TechOperators will be focusing on SaaS companies that have reached $1 million in revenue.  These types of startups, with a steady recurring revenue stream, are those best positioned to withstand a economic downturn.  TechOperators will typically be the first institutional investor in a company and become active
board members that will roll up their sleeves to help entrepreneurs achieve their objectives.

TechOperators intends to raise $30 million and invest in up to ten deals.  TechOperators is placing their interest squarely in what startups typically see as a funding gap of a $2 – 3 million raise.  A good hole to fill.

TechOperators has had its first close and has plenty of money to put to work.  And that is welcome good news for startups that fit thier profile.

October 13, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Venture Capital

Quote of the Week

Raising capital will be much more difficult now.

You should lower your “burn rate” to raise at least 3-6 months or
more of funding via cost reductions, even if it means staff reductions
and reduced marketing and G&A expenses. This is the equivalent to
“raising an internal round” through cost reductions to buy you more
time until you need to raise money again; hopefully when fund raising
is more feasible. Letting go of staff is hard and often gut wrenching.
A re-evaluation of timelines and re-focus on milestones with the eye of
doing more with less will allow you to live many more days, and the
name of the game in this environment in some
respects is survival–survival until conditions change.

If you are in a funding cycle, you should raise your funding as soon
as possible and raise as much as possible but face the fact that if you
can’t raise money now you must cut costs.

Ron Conway

In an email to his portfolio companies.  Full text over on TechCrunch.

 

October 10, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Quotes

A CEO’s Sequoia Meeting Notes

From The Funded.  Not sure of the source.

Update:  Seems like the source was fairly accurate.  TechCrunch and VentureBeat now have the actual presentation online.  It is also on SlideShare.  I have embeded the presentation at the end of the notes.

Today, Sequoia Capital hosted a mandatory CEO All-Hands Meeting on Sand Hill Road. There were about 100 CEO’s in attendance and let me tell you, the mood was somber. I’m not one to perpetuate doom and gloom or bad news, but let me underscore this for you: We are in a serious economic downturn and this is just the beginning. Immediate, decisive and swift action is required, along with frugal, day-to-day management of expenses and our business is required.

***Here are my notes from the meeting. Keep this note in your in-box and read it every day. I’m serious folks, this is for our survival.***

Speakers:

· Mike Moritz, General Partner, Sequoia Capital (he moderated the speakers).

· Eric Upin, Partner, Sequoia Capital (Eric ran the $26-Billion Stanford Endowment Fund and knows a few things about Economics and investing.)

· Michael Partner, Sequoia Capital (Michael was recruited to start Sequoia’s very first hedge fund, coming from Maverick Capital and Robertson Stephens. I know him from my BEA days.)

· Doug Leone, , General Partner, Sequoia Capital

Slide projected on the huge conference room screen as people assembled inside the conference center to take their seats: a gravestone with the inscription: RIP, Good Times.

Mike Moritz:

· The only time Sequoia’s assembled all CEO’s like this was during the dot.com crash.

· We are in drastic times. Drastic times mean drastic measures must be taken to survive. Forget about getting ahead, we’re talking survive. Get this point into your heads.

· For those of you that are not cash-flow positive, get there now. Raising capital is nearly impossible if you’re too far off of cash flow positive.

· There will be consequences for those who hesitate. Act now.

Eric Upin:

· It’s always darkest before it’s pitch black.

· Survival of this storm means drastic measures must be taken now, so you will have the opportunity to capitalize on this down turn in the future.

· We are in the beginning of a long cycle, what we call a “Secular Bear Market.” This could be a 15 year problem. [many slides on historical charts of previous recessions, averaging 17 year cycles.]

· The credit market [versus the Equity markets] are the issue and will take time to recover.

· Inflection point: Make changes, slash expenses, cut deep and keep marching. You can’t be a general if you turn back.

· This is a global issue and not a ‘normal’ time.

· There is significant risk to growth and your personal wealth.

· Advice:

– Manage what you can control. You can’t control the economy, but you can control everything else.

– Cut spending. Cut fat. Preserve Capital.

– Don’t trust your models and spreadsheets. All assumptions prior to today are wrong.

– Focus on quality.

– Reduce risk.

Michael Beckwith:

· Note: Michael had a lot of slides that were charts, data points and comparisons.

· A “V” shaped recovery is unlikely

· Cuts in spending will accelerate in Q4/Q1. Look at eBay—this is just the beginning.

Doug Leone:

· This is a different animal and will take years to recover.

· Getting another round if you’re not profitable will be rough.

· Do everything possible to get to cash flow positive. Now.

· Nail your Sales and Marketing message.

· Pound your competitors shortcomings. They’re hurting and they will be quiet. Take the offensive.

· In a downturn, aggressive PR and Communications strategy is key.

· M&A will decrease dramatically and only lean companies, with proven sales models will be acquired.

· Spectrum discussion:

– Capital Preservation ß———————————-à Grab Market

– Everyone should be far to the left (capital preservation)

Requirements of our companies. 

  1. You must cut expenses. Now and deep.
  2. Your product should reduce expenses and drive revenue
  3. Honestly assess your solution vs. your competitors.
  4. Cash is king [have you gotten this message yet?]
  5. You must get to profitability as soon as possible to weather this storm and be self-sustaining.

Operations review:

  • Engineering: Since you already have a product, strongly consider reducing the number of engineers that you have.
  • Product: What features are absolutely essential? Choose carefully and focus.
  • Marketing: Measure everything and cut what is not working. You don’t need large Product Marketing, Product Management teams.
  • Sales & Business Development: What is your return on this investment? The Valley has gotten fat with Sales people: Big bases, big variables. Cut base salaries on sales people, highly leverage them with upside (increase variable) and make people pay for themselves via increased sales productivity. Don’t add sales people until you’ve achieved your goals with sales productivity. Be disciplined.
  • Pipeline: Scrub the shit out of it and be honest with yourself.
  • Finance: Defer payments, what is essential? Kill cash burn.

Death Spiral (Nobody moves fast enough in times like these, so get going and research later.)

  • The death spiral sucks you in, you’re in it before you know it and then you die.
  • Survival of the quickest.
  • Cutting deeper is the formula for survival.
  • You should have at least one year’s worth of cash on hand.

Tactics:

  • Assess your situation. Drop your assumptions, start with a blank page and start zero-based budgeting.
  • Adapt quickly
  • Make your cuts
  • Review all salaries
  • Change sales comp
  • Bolster your balance sheet—if you can add $5M to your coffers, take it and save it.
  • Spend like it’s your last dollar.

Get Real or Go Home.

October 9, 2008  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Venture Capital

Event Roundup

Next week is going to be a big one in the Atlanta startup technology world.  And I mean big.  From Wednesday morning to Saturday afternoon it is one glorious gathering after another.

GTISC Security Summit

Wednesday morning kicks things off with the GTISC Security Summit.  This year the focus is on emerging cyber security threats. Lt. General Robert J. Elder, Jr., who you most likely have never heard of, is giving a keynote entitled "Global Opeations and Mission Assurance in a Contested Cyber Envrionment".  Tom Noonan, whom you most likely have heard of, is then moderating a panel on the subject.

Venture Atlanta

The biggest venture capital event in Atlanta history is taking place on Wednesday and Thursday at the Omni Hotel.   The Omni is sold out and Venture Atlanta is almost as well.  Over 100 VCs packing the halls talking deals.  On Wednesday afternoon ATDC and VentureLab are putting on "Let’s Make a Deal".  I am partially playing the role of Monty Hall

Executing Social Media

I am not going to be able to make it to the Executing Social Media conference but if Grayson Daughters says it is going to be good I believe her.  For social media types with big expense accounts.  The $1295 registration fee makes the cost of entry to Venture Atlanta seem like a bargain.

Meet The VC

I will be sitting down next Friday morning bright and early with  Vimal Patel of Sierra Ventures out of Menlo Park for the second interation of ATDC’s Meet the VC. Despite the early time slot the first session with Alan Tatele was full of energy.  I expect more of the same and a sell out crowd.  It is free but you have to register.  And if you have any questions that you would like me to ask Vimal you can do so in the comments.

BarCamp Atlanta 2

This unconference is filling up fast with 169 folks registered to attend.  The kick off on Friday night will be huge.  Like Meet the VC, BarCamp is free and you can register here until it fills up.   But it requires active participation.  You have to come prepared to give a presentation or demo.  I  am pretty sure the title of my presentation is going to be "That’s What You Twittered", a crowd sourced presentation.  If you want to play along with that, follow me on Twitter.

It’s gonna be a fun week.

 

  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in atdc, BarCamp, Entrepreneurship, Unconference, Venture Capital