Digital & Deals Rescue Local Advertising

Yesterday I wrote an article about deals not being evil in response to a series of articles that are appearing on TechCrunch. At about the same time the Wall Street Journal published an article entitled Daily Deals Rescue Local-Ad Market that was a bit more balanced then the stories coming out of TechCruch. It includes a great chart that shows the fall of newpaper and yellow pages spend and the growth of digital and deals. Merchants are shifting their marketing spend.Local Advertising Reach

They are doing this because digital and deals are effective. 

Money quote.

Rodney Fong, president of San Francisco's Wax Museum at Fisherman's Wharf, for one, is a convert to the daily-deals model. Just three years ago, he said the museum spent a quarter of its marketing budget on newspaper ads. Now it spends almost nothing on print ads, shifting its focus to daily-deal sites. "I'm sold on it," Mr. Fong said.

June 15, 2011  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in E-Commerce, Internet

Nothing Evil In A Deal

Rocky Agrawal seems to be all worked up about the online local commerce world. I am not exactly sure why, but over the course of the past few days I have gotten quite a few notes about his Why I Want Google Offers And The Entire Daily Deals Business To Die article on TechCrunch. It is one of a series of articles about the online local deal industry.

The specific article above seems somewhat akin to a certain president wanting to attack a certain country to take out a certain leader. I don’t really understand why as Rocky seems to be a pretty rational strategic thoughtful deal industry guy. As an example he has a great article on Best Practices for Businesses Considering Daily Deals. Here’s the first section.

Before you agree to a deal

  • Make sure deals is right for you. The marketing around daily deals implies that it’s an honor to be selected and that you should be thankful for the opportunity. It’s the “Who’s Who” model — flattery works. It’s not an honor. You should analyze the numbers and make sure that the deals work for your business. Talk to other similar businesses about their experiences. Some of the key questions to ask: How many of the customers were your existing customers? How big was the initial demand? Did you have to staff up extra? Did people buy more than the deal value? Did new deal customers come back? If the deals were redeemed mostly by existing customers or new customers didn’t come back, those are bad signs. Only run a deal because you have done analysis and realized that it’s good for your business, not because everyone is excited about Groupon. I talked to one merchant who ran a Groupon because a restaurant across the street was full after it ran a Groupon. She ended up losing $10,000 on her deal.
  • Don’t believe statistics from your sales rep. The reality is that none of the deal companies have the technology to accurately track the most important metrics to the business. You’ll hear stats like 95% of merchants are satisfied. 98% spend more than the deal voucher. You should ignore them. 95% of people wouldn’t agree that the Pope is Catholic. On a $20 Groupon, they might spend $20.05. Yes, it’s more than the voucher, but that extra nickel doesn’t help you.
  • Stick to your guns. Your sales rep might tell you that in order for your deal to be selected to run that you must make your offer more generous. By, for example, increasing the cap or raising the value of your voucher or increasing the share to the deal company or removing restrictions on a deal. This is akin to the car salesman telling you that his manager won’t let him do the deal. If you’ve worked out your numbers and know what your comfortable with, stick with them. “Losing” the opportunity to be featured is better than making a bad business decision.
  • Make sure you understand the terms. The daily deal is not some Internet magic; it’s a complex financial instrument. The dynamics are very different from buying a newspaper or magazine ad. Give it the same amount of thought as if you were taking a $15,000 loan. See my analysis of the Groupon merchant agreement.

While much of Agrawai’s writing is thoughtful like the as the above demonstrates major points are either overlooked or ignored in the TechCrunch rant.

  1. Despite some high pressure sales techniques by some companies in the space no one is forcing merchants to sign up for online local commerce deals.
  2. Many merchants love deals and are signing up for annual contracts with specific providers.
  3. There is no concept of consumer frequency in his analysis.
  4. Daily and weekly alternative newspapers are dead or dying. Deal companies are one of the few alternatives that local merchants have to market themselves.
  5. Deal companies are performance based with real metrics.

Rocky closes the TechCruch article with this:

If you know of a business that has run a daily deal and since closed please email dailydeals@agrawals.org

Why the axe to grind? That I don’t know.

Agrawai refers to Google Offers as “pretty close to evil.” I signed up for my current gig at Half Off Depot to do good not evil. We are providing real value to both merchants and consumers. If anyone wants to know of hundreds of businesses that are thriving as a result of online local deal marketing drop me a line, I would be more than happy to connect you with a few of them.

June 14, 2011  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in E-Commerce, Half Off Depot, Internet

Groupon S1

So Groupon filed its S1. The length of the document and the analysis of it is staggering. So this is a blog. A web log. Here are some of my favorite reads on Groupon's filing.

Who Will Be Left Standing Post-Groupon IPO by Erika Morphy of Forbes. An analysis of the daily deal market. Not sure if I agree with her assessment of AT&T, never really seen them as sophisticated at marketing in unregulated markets.

Groupon S-1: Mind The Ratios. A nice article by Jeff Bussgang of Flybridge Capital about deteriorating customer and merchant growth ratios. Those Boston VCs like to pound the numbers.

"Anyone can start a Groupon!" and other startup myths by Andrew Chen lays out some barriers to scale.

Andrew's post led me to Groupon S-1 Reveals Business Model Deteriorating in Oldest Markets by David Sinsky of Yipit.

Sorry, There's Just No Good Excuse For The Amount Of Insider Selling Going On At Groupon by Pascal-Emmanuael Gobry. The title says all that needs to be said.

Groupon IPO: pass on this deal by David Heinemeir Hansson a partner at 37Signals (whose founder Jason Fried sat on the Groupon board for a few years) has a blistering attack on the use of Adjusted Consolidated Segment Operating Income or ACSOI as an accounting metric. Groupon without marketing expenses is not Groupon at all. Indeed.

3 Reasons To Feel Good About Groupon's IPO from the Wall Street Journal. Hugely profitable, scale, and losing money for a while is all good.

My bottom line. Groupon is the leader in a huge market and its growth has been astonishing. They are going to go public and cash a lot of people out. They made the market and are going to be a market leader for some time. A $20 billion valuation seems a bit rich.

June 6, 2011  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Current Affairs, Internet

Due Diligence Checklist

Working both sides of the Half Off Depot deal was a lot of fun. Part of that included participating in the due diligence work on behalf of Noro-Moseley Partners. During the course of this process I provided a list of potential due diligence items to the firm. The information request itself ran just over four pages. You can find a copy of the due diligence request on Scribd. The actual information itself could fill up a few binders.

Entrepreneurs and founders are often time surprised by the amount of information requested by potential investors. If you are going down a path to raise funding knowing what types of information potential investors are going to ask for and putting it together over a period of time can prove to be very helpful after you get a term sheet and are working through diligence and close.  

June 1, 2011  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Entrepreneurship, Venture Capital

The Half Off Depot Team

I have a little rule of thumb. If you are working with the press on a story you can expect the finished article to be about 80% correct. Nothing against reporters. They are working on tight deadlines in areas where they do not necessiarly have domain knowledge.

Urvakash Karkaria of the Atlanta Business Chronicle deserves some props. When he wrote the story on Half Off Depot's funding (sorry for the paywall) he got most of the facts right. The only mess up was the photo caption. The people in that photo were not really "my team." They are cofounders and coworkers. And the picture that I wanted them to use is more like the one below. It included the full team that was in the Atlanta office that day. 

These are the folks, along with CEO Brian Conley who was out of town, that deserve the spotlight for getting Half Off Depot to where it is today.

Half Off Team Shot

 

May 18, 2011  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Half Off Depot, Marketing, Startups

Angels Sing

This Thursday night at 6:00 is Entrepreneurs’ Night. It is my ATDC swan song, and it’s going to be a good one. In May we shaking things up a bit and having several Atlanta angel groups present what they are looking for in their deals. I call it the Angel Editon.

Presenters will be:

Each of these folks will be given 5 timed minutes to present followed by 5 timed minutes of Q & A. Kinda turning the tables a bit. This is the first time that Sig will be talking about Flashpoint Ventures in public. Flashpoint just began accepeting applications today.

This event is open to all enterpreneurs. We would love to see you there. If you plan to attend please register.

May 17, 2011  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Angels, Entrepreneurship

Flashpoint Accepting Apps

This a a guest post by Nina Sawczuk, general manager of ATDC and co-director of Flashpoint. It is cross posted from atdc.org.

Georgia Tech is proud to present Flashpoint, a startup accelerator program launching in August 2011. Flashpoint will provide mentorship, shared learning, office space, and an an environment for accelerated scalable business model search.

Selected participants will typically be eligible for $15,000 in funding in exchange for up to 6% equity stake.  Investments will be provided by the new Flashpoint Investment Fund headed by Sig Mosley of Imlay Investments.

Apply if you are:

  • a team of at least two people with one or more ideas or a startup that has not yet reached the Series A funding stage of growth and
  • in need of funding or are just interested in the accelerator program’s learning and guidance and
  • utilizing technology as a competitive advantage in any market and
  • can operate in Atlanta during the program.

Apply now to join our next cohort. We will run cohorts twice a year.

  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in atdc

Joining Half Off Depot

Well I took my own advice. I am joining a startup. It is Half Off Depot.

Half Off Depot is an Atlanta based social commerce company. We enable merchants to harness the power of social media and the appeal of deal driven commerce to attract and retain customers. Half Off Depot currently operates in two markets. Atlanta and Knoxville. Our revenue run rate is more than $10 million annually. We just closed a $7 million Series A round led by Noro-Moseley Partners. I wrote the biggest check I have ever written as part of the deal.

I am running business development and sales. Employee 21. The short story is I am in charge of meeting some pretty aggressive revenue growth goals. We will get to the longer story later. 

During my time at ATDC I have looked at thousands of startups. Since last Fall I have had conversations with a number of interesting Atlanta startups. Half Off Depot is one of the most promising. It's certainly the most promising that I can make go faster right now. Brian the CEO is a stand up guy. It is going to be great to work with Alan Taetle again.

I couldn't be more excited to be back in the game.

It's perfect.

May 15, 2011  |  Comments  |  Tweet  |  Posted in Marketing, Personal, Social, Startups